Serves as Director, Business Revenue Division, Office of Tax Analysis, reporting to the Director of the Office of Tax Analysis. As Treasury's lead economist for business tax revenue forecasting and estimation, oversees development of business tax receipt forecasts for the President's Budget and Mid-Session Review and directs analysis of business tax policy proposals. Provides expert advice to senior Treasury leadership on issues affecting Federal budget, financing, and tax policy decisions.
Summary
Serves as Director, Business Revenue Division, Office of Tax Analysis, reporting to the Director of the Office of Tax Analysis. As Treasury's lead economist for business tax revenue forecasting and estimation, oversees development of business tax receipt forecasts for the President's Budget and Mid-Session Review and directs analysis of business tax policy proposals. Provides expert advice to senior Treasury leadership on issues affecting Federal budget, financing, and tax policy decisions.
The Director for Business Revenue performs the following duties:
1. Executive Direction: Leads and directs the Business Revenue Division, overseeing a team of economists, econometricians, and statisticians responsible for business tax receipts forecasting, revenue estimation, and related research. Provides strategic direction for analyses supporting Federal business tax policy, collections forecasting, and revenue estimates, and oversees cross-office modeling, research, and analytical initiatives in response to evolving priorities and tight deadlines.
2. Receipts Forecasts: Leads the development and refinement of business tax receipts forecasts supporting the President's Budget, Treasury financing operations, and Federal fiscal policy decisions. Briefs senior Treasury and Administration officials, including OMB, on forecast results and implications, and provides authoritative economic and technical analysis to inform policy decisions. Advises leadership on factors affecting revenue collections and forecast accuracy, translating complex findings into clear, actionable recommendations.
3. Revenue Estimates: Leads the development and evaluation of business tax revenue estimates supporting the President's Budget, Mid-Session Review, and Administration, Congressional, and Treasury tax policy initiatives. Briefs senior Treasury, Administration, and Congressional officials on the fiscal impact of proposed tax changes and provides authoritative economic and technical analysis to inform policy decisions. Advises leadership on factors affecting revenue outcomes and estimate reliability, translating complex analyses into clear, actionable recommendations.
4. Studies: Leads the development of advanced economic, econometric, and modeling research to improve the accuracy and effectiveness of business tax receipts forecasts and revenue estimates. Directs studies analyzing forecasting performance, taxpayer behavioral responses, and the fiscal effects of tax policy changes using sophisticated analytical tools and models. Advises senior Treasury leadership on complex forecasting and revenue estimation issues and collaborates on long-range research and policy initiatives supporting the Administration's tax agenda.
5. Methods and Practices: Provides strategic leadership in advancing business tax forecasting and revenue estimation methodologies, developing innovative analytical approaches, models, and workflows to meet evolving policy and operational needs. Ensures the capability to deliver timely, authoritative forecasts and revenue estimates to senior decision-makers. Advises the Director, Office of Tax Analysis, on resource requirements, including workforce planning, technology, training, and other investments necessary to support the Division's mission.
6. Leadership: Provides intellectual and technical leadership in business tax forecasting and revenue estimation by staying current on emerging economic research, methodologies, and best practices. Represents Treasury in professional forums and applies leading-edge insights to strengthen analytical capabilities. Leads efforts to recruit, develop, and retain a high-performing workforce of economists, econometricians, and statisticians.
7. Liaison: Serves as a principal advisor to senior Treasury leadership on business tax receipts forecasts, revenue estimates, and the fiscal effects of economic conditions and tax policy proposals. Provides technical expertise in support of Congressional testimony, briefs senior Administration and Treasury officials, and responds to high-level inquiries from the White House, OMB, CEA, and Congressional stakeholders. Represents Treasury in interagency forums to coordinate economic assumptions, forecasting activities, and tax policy initiatives across the Federal government.
A one-year SES probationary period is required, if not previously completed.
Must successfully complete personnel security vetting (e.g., investigation, evaluation, and adjudication).
Complete a Declaration for Federal Employment to determine your suitability for Federal employment, at the time requested by the agency.
Must have your salary sent to a financial institution of your choice by Direct Deposit/Electronic Funds Transfer.
If you are a male applicant born after December 31, 1959, certify that you have registered with the Selective Service System or are exempt from having to do so.
Go through a Personal Identity Verification (PIV) process that requires two forms of identification from the Form I-9. Federal law requires verification of the identity and employment eligibility of all new hires in the U.S.
File a Public Financial Disclosure Report within 30 days of appointment and annually from then on.
Disclosure of Political Appointments.
Veterans' preference is not applicable to the Senior Executive Service.
All qualification requirements must be met by the closing date of this announcement.
Qualifications
EDUCATION: Applicants must meet one of the following requirements:
Degree: A bachelor's degree in economics from an accredited college or university that included at least 21 semester hours in economics and 3 semester hours in statistics, accounting, or calculus; OR
Combination of Education and Experience: A combination of education and experience equivalent to a major in economics, as described above, that included at least 21 semester hours in economics and 3 semester hours in statistics, accounting, or calculus, together with appropriate experience or additional education.
RESUME: To meet minimum qualification requirements, you must demonstrate the Executive Core Qualifications (ECQs) and Technical Qualifications (TQs) within a resume not to exceed two pages. Submissions exceeding this limit may not be reviewed or may be disqualified. The resume must clearly reflect relevant experience, education, and accomplishments evidencing executive-level knowledge, skills, and abilities required for SES positions; failure to do so may result in non-consideration:
Directing organizational units and leading complex operations
Accountability for the success of major programs or initiatives
Monitoring organizational performance and adjusting goals as needed
Supervising staff and managing workforce performance
Exercising policy-making, policy-determining, and executive functions
Submission of a separate narrative statement addressing the Technical Qualifications (TQs) or Executive Core Qualifications (ECQs) is not required.
TECHNICAL QUALIFICATIONS (TQs): Your resume should demonstrate accomplishments that would satisfy the technical qualifications.
TQ1 - Demonstrated diversified economic and/or econometric experience analyzing highly complex tax policy or public finance issues, with emphasis on the analysis of Federal business tax issues. Demonstrated ability to make effective presentations, orally and in writing, regarding such analytical work, as evidenced by outside professional activities, publications, speaking engagements, teaching, or substantial contributions to economics associations or similar groups.
TQ2 - Demonstrated knowledge of the federal tax policy development process, revenue estimation, and coordination among Treasury, OMB, IRS, Congressional stakeholders, and other federal entities involved in tax policy formulation.
TQ3 - Demonstrated comprehensive knowledge of Federal tax policy, particularly business taxation, and exceptional skill in conducting complex economic analyses to inform tax policy decisions. Demonstrated experience in forecasting business tax receipts based on projected macroeconomic and microeconomic conditions and in assessing the revenue effects of tax policy changes. Expert knowledge of statistical, econometric, and modeling techniques applicable to business tax analysis, as evidenced by significant professional accomplishments, technical publications, teaching experience, or extensive experience in the field of business tax revenue forecasting and estimation.
EXECUTIVE CORE QUALIFICATIONS (ECQs): In addition to the Technical Qualification Requirements listed above, all new entrants into the Senior Executive Service (SES) under a career appointment will be assessed for executive competency against the following five mandatory ECQs. If your 2-page resume does not reflect demonstrated evidence of the ECQs and TQs, you may not receive further consideration for the position.
ECQ 1 - Commitment to the Rule of Law and the Principles of the American Founding: Demonstrated knowledge of the American system of government, commitment to uphold the Constitution and the rule of law, and commitment to serve the American people. Leadership Competencies: Knowledge of the American System of Government, Commitment to the Rule of Law, Civic-Mindedness.
ECQ 2 - Driving Efficiency: Demonstrated ability to strategically and efficiently manage resources, budget effectively, cut wasteful spending, and pursue efficiency through process and technological upgrades. Leadership Competencies: Fiscal Responsibility, Managing Resources, Leveraging Technology.
ECQ 3 - Merit and Competence: Demonstrated knowledge, ability, and technical competence to effectively and reliably produce work that is of exceptional quality. Leadership Competencies: Technical Skill, Problem Solving, Agility and Resilience.
ECQ 4 - Leading People: Demonstrated ability to lead and inspire a group toward meeting the organization's vision, mission, and goals, and to drive a high-performance, high-accountability culture. This includes, when necessary, the ability to lead people through change and to hold individuals accountable. Leadership Competencies: Accountability, Developing Others, Executive Judgement.
ECQ 5 - Achieving Results: Demonstrated ability to achieve both individual and organizational results, and to align results to stated goals from superiors. Leadership Competencies: Operational Mindset, Innovation, Strategic Thinking.
FUNDAMENTAL COMPETENCIES: The following competencies are the foundation for success in each of the Executive Core Qualifications: Interpersonal Skills, Oral Communication, Written Communication, Integrity/Honesty, Continual Learning, and Public Service Motivation.
Note: If you are a member of the SES or have been certified through successful participation in an OPM approved SES Candidate Development Program (SESCDP), or have SES reinstatement eligibility, you do not need to respond to the ECQs. Instead, you should attach proof (e.g., SF-50, Certification by OPM's SES Qualifications Review Board (QRB) of your eligibility for noncompetitive appointment to the SES.
Additional information about the SES and ECQs can be found on the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) SES Website: Executive Core Qualifications.
Education
This position has a positive education requirement.
Applicants must submit transcripts (official or unofficial) sufficient to demonstrate that they meet the positive education requirement. If qualifying through a combination of education and experience, your application must clearly demonstrate how you meet the requirements established by the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) for the Economist Series, 0110.
PREFERRED QUALIFICATION: An advanced degree in economics, econometrics, statistics, public policy, finance, business administration, or a related quantitative discipline is highly desirable. Demonstrated expertise in business tax policy, revenue estimation, tax receipts forecasting, and the application of advanced economic, statistical, and econometric methods to inform Federal tax policy and fiscal decision-making is preferred.
Additional information
Veterans' Preference: Is not applicable to positions in the Senior Executive Service.
Current or Former Political Appointees: The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) must authorize employment offers made to current or former political appointees. If you are currently, or have been within the last five (5) years, a political Schedule A, Schedule C, Noncareer SES or Presidential Appointee employee in the Executive Branch, you must disclose this information on your resume and to the Human Resources Office.
Equal Employment Opportunity Policy: The United States Government does not discriminate in employment on the basis of race, color, religion, sex (including pregnancy and gender identity), national origin, political affiliation, sexual orientation, marital status, disability, genetic information, age, membership in an employee organization, retaliation, parental status, military service, or other non-merit factor.
Reasonable Accommodation Policy: Federal agencies must provide reasonable accommodation to applicants with disabilities where appropriate. Applicants requiring reasonable accommodation for any part of the application process should follow the instructions in the job opportunity announcement. For any part of the remaining hiring process, applicants should contact the hiring agency directly. Determinations on requests for reasonable accommodation will be made on a case-by-case basis. A reasonable accommodation is any change to a job, the work environment, or the way things are usually done that enables an individual with a disability to apply for a job, perform job duties or receive equal access to job benefits.
This position requires that the successful candidate undergo personnel vetting, which includes a background investigation and enrollment upon onboarding into "Continuous Vetting." Enrollment in Continuous Vetting will result in automated record checks being conducted throughout one's employment with Treasury. The successful candidate will also be enrolled into FBI's Rap Back service, which will allow Treasury to receive notification from the FBI of criminal matters (e.g., arrests, charges, convictions) involving enrolled individuals in near real-time.
Candidates should be committed to improving the efficiency of the Federal government, passionate about the ideals of our American republic, and committed to upholding the rule of law and the United States Constitution.
A career with the U.S. government provides employees with a comprehensive benefits package. As a federal employee, you and your family will have access to a range of benefits that are designed to make your federal career very rewarding. Opens in a new windowLearn more about federal benefits.
Eligibility for benefits depends on the type of position you hold and whether your position is full-time, part-time or intermittent. Contact the hiring agency for more information on the specific benefits offered.
How you will be evaluated
You will be evaluated for this job based on how well you meet the qualifications above.
Once the application process is complete, a review of your resume and supporting documentation will be conducted. If you meet minimum qualifications, your Application Package will be further reviewed to determine if you possess the Executive Core Qualifications (ECQ) and Technical Qualifications (MTQ) listed above. ECQs and TQs must be thoroughly addressed within your two (2) page resume. Separate narratives will not be accepted or reviewed. Highly Qualified applicants may undergo one or more interviews and may be referred to the selecting official for further consideration.
Upon selection, if not already a member of the SES serving under a career appointment, the individual selected must have his/her executive qualifications certified by the U.S. Office of Personnel Management's SES Qualifications Review Board (QRB) before appointment to this position. The selected individual's application will be forwarded to the OPM for review and certification by the QRB, unless the selectee provides evidence of their noncompetitive status (i.e., a current SES, OPM QRB certified SESCDP graduate, or SES reinstatement eligible). Upon QRB certification, the selected individual will be required to serve a one-year probationary period. For more information regarding the SES, go to https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/senior-executive-service/.
REMINDER: Before uploading your required PDF documents, please ensure the resume DOES NOT EXCEED the noted page limits.
A career with the U.S. government provides employees with a comprehensive benefits package. As a federal employee, you and your family will have access to a range of benefits that are designed to make your federal career very rewarding. Opens in a new windowLearn more about federal benefits.
Eligibility for benefits depends on the type of position you hold and whether your position is full-time, part-time or intermittent. Contact the hiring agency for more information on the specific benefits offered.
**************ALL DOCUMENTS MUST BE UPLOADED IN PDF FORMAT*******************
A complete application includes items described below. Please note that if you do not provide all required information, as specified in this announcement, you may not be considered for this position (or may not receive the special consideration for which you may be eligible).
1.Resume: The new SES hiring process requires applicants to submit a two (2)-page resume which includes information regarding your professional experience and accomplishments that demonstrate you meet the ECQs and required MTQ.
Your resume MUST contain specific information that can be used to make a qualification determination, including employment beginning and ending dates for each position, whether employment is Full-time or Part-time, or average number of hours worked per week, and position titles. If the position is/was in the Federal government, you will need to provide the position series and grade level. The resume should show relevant experience and education, as well as support the required specialized experience.
Note: Your two-page resume must be presented in a font size and font style that is legible, preferably Times New Roman font, no less than 10-point size with no less than half an inch margin all around. (i.e., 1 page that is double-sided or 2 pages that are one-sided each) showing all relevant experience. Applicants seeking initial career appointment to the Senior Executive Service (SES) must include evidence of the ECQs and TQs. PLEASE DO NOT USE USAJOBS RESUME BUILDER.
VACANCY QUESTION/ASSESSMENT QUESTIONNAIRE RESPONSES: Responses are automatically submitted through USA Jobs when you apply to this vacancy.
3. ADDITIONAL REQUIRED DOCUMENTS: Applicants are required to submit the following supporting documentation if applicable:
CURRENT OR FORMER SES MEBERS: Must provide your SES appointment SF-50 (Notification of Personnel Action), and an SF-50 showing current career SES status or career SES reinstatement eligibility.
SES CANDIDATE DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM (SESCDP) GRADUATES: Verification of successful completion of an OPM-approved SESCDP and OPM SES QRB certification.
CURRENT OR FORMER FEDERAL CIVIL SERVICE EMPLOYEE: Must provide a copy of your Notification of Personnel Action, Standard Form 50 (SF-50) or equivalent personnel action form reflecting you are a current Federal Civil Service employee.
TRANSCRIPTS: This position has a positive education requirement. Applicants must submit a copy of their transcripts (official or unofficial) with their application package to verify that they meet the minimum educational qualification requirements for the Economist Series, ES-0110. Transcripts must reflect the degree awarded and/or the coursework completed, including the required economics, statistics, accounting, and/or calculus coursework. Failure to submit the required transcripts will result in a determination that the applicant does not meet the minimum qualification requirements and may render the applicant ineligible for further consideration.
Applicants who fail to submit ALL required documents WILL NOT receive consideration for this position. Application will result in an "Incomplete/Ineligible" rating.
To apply for this position, you must complete this application and submit any required documents specified in the Required Documents section and submit by 11:59 PM (EST) on the closing date of the announcement to receive consideration.
To begin, click Apply to access the online application. You will need to be logged into your USAJOBS account to apply. If you do not have a USAJOBS account, you will need to create one before beginning the application.
Follow the prompts to select and upload your resume and/or other required documents to be included with your application package. You will have the opportunity to upload additional documents to include in your application before it is submitted. Your uploaded documents may take several hours to clear the virus scan process.
After acknowledging you have reviewed your application package, complete the "Include Personal Information" section as you deem appropriate and click to continue with the application process.
You will be taken to the online application which you must complete in order to apply for the position. Complete the online application, verify the required documentation is included with your application package, and submit the application.
It is applicant's responsibility to verify that information entered and uploaded, (i.e., resume and other required documents) is complete, accurate, and submitted by the closing date. Human Resources will not modify or change any part of your application.
Application packages will NOT be accepted via mail. Due to security processes, mail delivery takes approximately 2-3 weeks to process at which time the vacancy announcement will be closed, and no further consideration will be given to additional application packages.
To verify the status of your application, sign in to your USAJOBS account (https://www.usajobs.gov/), all of your applications will appear on the Welcome screen. The Application Status will appear along with the date your application was last updated. For information on what each Application Status means, visit: https://help.usajobs.gov/how-to.
Once your online application is submitted you will receive a confirmation notification by email. Your application will be evaluated by the Human Resources Office to determine your eligibility for the position. After the evaluation is complete, you will receive another notification regarding the status of your application.
The Federal hiring process is set up to be fair and transparent. Please read the following guidance.
**************ALL DOCUMENTS MUST BE UPLOADED IN PDF FORMAT*******************
A complete application includes items described below. Please note that if you do not provide all required information, as specified in this announcement, you may not be considered for this position (or may not receive the special consideration for which you may be eligible).
1.Resume: The new SES hiring process requires applicants to submit a two (2)-page resume which includes information regarding your professional experience and accomplishments that demonstrate you meet the ECQs and required MTQ.
Your resume MUST contain specific information that can be used to make a qualification determination, including employment beginning and ending dates for each position, whether employment is Full-time or Part-time, or average number of hours worked per week, and position titles. If the position is/was in the Federal government, you will need to provide the position series and grade level. The resume should show relevant experience and education, as well as support the required specialized experience.
Note: Your two-page resume must be presented in a font size and font style that is legible, preferably Times New Roman font, no less than 10-point size with no less than half an inch margin all around. (i.e., 1 page that is double-sided or 2 pages that are one-sided each) showing all relevant experience. Applicants seeking initial career appointment to the Senior Executive Service (SES) must include evidence of the ECQs and TQs. PLEASE DO NOT USE USAJOBS RESUME BUILDER.
VACANCY QUESTION/ASSESSMENT QUESTIONNAIRE RESPONSES: Responses are automatically submitted through USA Jobs when you apply to this vacancy.
3. ADDITIONAL REQUIRED DOCUMENTS: Applicants are required to submit the following supporting documentation if applicable:
CURRENT OR FORMER SES MEBERS: Must provide your SES appointment SF-50 (Notification of Personnel Action), and an SF-50 showing current career SES status or career SES reinstatement eligibility.
SES CANDIDATE DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM (SESCDP) GRADUATES: Verification of successful completion of an OPM-approved SESCDP and OPM SES QRB certification.
CURRENT OR FORMER FEDERAL CIVIL SERVICE EMPLOYEE: Must provide a copy of your Notification of Personnel Action, Standard Form 50 (SF-50) or equivalent personnel action form reflecting you are a current Federal Civil Service employee.
TRANSCRIPTS: This position has a positive education requirement. Applicants must submit a copy of their transcripts (official or unofficial) with their application package to verify that they meet the minimum educational qualification requirements for the Economist Series, ES-0110. Transcripts must reflect the degree awarded and/or the coursework completed, including the required economics, statistics, accounting, and/or calculus coursework. Failure to submit the required transcripts will result in a determination that the applicant does not meet the minimum qualification requirements and may render the applicant ineligible for further consideration.
Applicants who fail to submit ALL required documents WILL NOT receive consideration for this position. Application will result in an "Incomplete/Ineligible" rating.
To apply for this position, you must complete this application and submit any required documents specified in the Required Documents section and submit by 11:59 PM (EST) on the closing date of the announcement to receive consideration.
To begin, click Apply to access the online application. You will need to be logged into your USAJOBS account to apply. If you do not have a USAJOBS account, you will need to create one before beginning the application.
Follow the prompts to select and upload your resume and/or other required documents to be included with your application package. You will have the opportunity to upload additional documents to include in your application before it is submitted. Your uploaded documents may take several hours to clear the virus scan process.
After acknowledging you have reviewed your application package, complete the "Include Personal Information" section as you deem appropriate and click to continue with the application process.
You will be taken to the online application which you must complete in order to apply for the position. Complete the online application, verify the required documentation is included with your application package, and submit the application.
It is applicant's responsibility to verify that information entered and uploaded, (i.e., resume and other required documents) is complete, accurate, and submitted by the closing date. Human Resources will not modify or change any part of your application.
Application packages will NOT be accepted via mail. Due to security processes, mail delivery takes approximately 2-3 weeks to process at which time the vacancy announcement will be closed, and no further consideration will be given to additional application packages.
To verify the status of your application, sign in to your USAJOBS account (https://www.usajobs.gov/), all of your applications will appear on the Welcome screen. The Application Status will appear along with the date your application was last updated. For information on what each Application Status means, visit: https://help.usajobs.gov/how-to.
Once your online application is submitted you will receive a confirmation notification by email. Your application will be evaluated by the Human Resources Office to determine your eligibility for the position. After the evaluation is complete, you will receive another notification regarding the status of your application.
Fair and transparent
The Federal hiring process is set up to be fair and transparent. Please read the following guidance.
